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Contributed paper list


   (Thursday 6th, 10:30-12:30)

The total probability theorem, the “depends” argument and simulation

Presenter

• Gabriel Yáñez (Colombia)

Abstract

As an alternative to the Total Probability Theorem, the “depends” argument that students use to calculate marginal probabilities is studied. We discuss an experience with undergraduate engineering students who took a computed aided basic probability course based on the frequency approach. The result of this experience shows that an adequate interpretation of the outcomes of simulated random experiments allows conjecturing and arguing algebraic results of the theory of probability.