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This is a session of Topic 8: Research in statistics education

(Friday 18th, 10:55-12:25)

Research on developing students’ probabilistic reasoning



The last twenty-five years have witnessed the increasing inclusion of probability as a content strand within school mathematics curricula in various countries. This increase underscores the importance of understanding issues related to supporting the development of students’ coherent understandings of probability within designed instructional contexts. This session will showcase research studies that provide insight into both the design of instruction intended to support such development and students’ ways of thinking and understandings that can emerge in relation to their engagement with such instruction. In particular, studies in this session will address 1) instructional design features and embedded technological tools of contexts that aimed to support the development of students’ coherent probabilistic imagery, and 2) frameworks for thinking about productive meanings of probability to target as instructional endpoints. Moreover, studies will present empirical evidence of how these two may shape and influence the development of students’ probabilistic reasoning, especially in ways that can provide them with a conceptual basis for understanding the probabilistic underpinning of statistical inference.


PaperTitlePresenter / Co-author(s)
8E1Empirical research on understanding probability and related concepts — a review of vital issuesManfred Borovcnik (Austria)
8E2Reasoning development of a high school student about probability conceptJulio C Valdez (Mexico)
Ernesto Sánchez (Mexico)
8E3Characteristics of students’ probabalistic reasoning in a simulation-based statistics courseAaron Weinberg (United States)